Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Evesham play Plymouth Parkway in the Southern League Premier South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Evesham averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Plymouth Parkway averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Evesham won 0, Plymouth Parkway won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Evesham and 2.31 for Plymouth Parkway. This points to a Plymouth Parkway double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Evesham

24%

Draws

44%

Plymouth Parkway

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Evesham picked up more points recently compared to Plymouth Parkway.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Evesham	Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	7	13
Draws	10	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.14	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.46	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Awadh A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Garside R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 31 / 100

Plymouth Parkway 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Evesham Plymouth Parkway

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Plymouth Parkway or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Evesham attacking → ← attacking Plymouth Parkway

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evesham scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Plymouth Parkway let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Evesham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth Parkway lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 43

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18