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Evesham vs Taunton Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Evesham host Taunton Town in the Southern League Premier South. This one's hard to separate. Taunton Town have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Evesham have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Evesham slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Taunton Town. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Evesham
20%
Draws
29%
Taunton Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taunton Town lately — more wins on the board than Evesham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Evesham Clean Sheet 16%
Taunton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Taunton Town
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Evesham
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Taunton Town
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 30 / 100
Taunton Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Taunton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evesham found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Taunton Town conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Taunton Town
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

Taunton Town

(Away)
30 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Taunton Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)