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Evosmou vs Ethnikos Neou Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Evosmou Logo

Evosmou

2 - 4
FT
Ethnikos Neou Logo

Ethnikos Neou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Evosmou and Ethnikos Neou finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Evosmou
15%
Draws
73%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ethnikos Neou a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ethnikos Neou have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evosmou Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.77 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Ethnikos Neou
2:4
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Evosmou
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Greek Cup
Evosmou vs Ethnikos Neou
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evosmou 10 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evosmou Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Defensive concern: Ethnikos Neou conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Ethnikos Neou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Evosmou's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Evosmou VS Ethnikos Neou
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Evosmou

(Home)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)