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Evrokolezh vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorets in this Third League - South-East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Evrokolezh
30%
Draws
16%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Evrokolezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Evrokolezh lately — more wins on the board than Zagorets.
  • Win probability leans Evrokolezh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Evrokolezh Clean Sheet 20%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evrokolezh Zagorets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2018 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Evrokolezh
2:0
Aug 30, 2017 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Zagorets
0:3
Feb 25, 2017 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Zagorets
0:1
Aug 13, 2016 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Evrokolezh
1:1
Apr 29, 2016 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Zagorets
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evrokolezh 85 / 100
Zagorets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evrokolezh Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evrokolezh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evrokolezh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zagorets let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Evrokolezh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zagorets
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Evrokolezh

(Home)
02 Jun
Svilengrad 1921
4 : 1
Evrokolezh
26 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 2
Asenovets
19 May
Borislav Parvomay
4 : 2
Evrokolezh
12 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 1
Yambol 1915
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 4
Evrokolezh
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Zagorets

(Away)
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4
Spartak Plovdiv
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0
Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
23 May
Zagorets
2 : 4
Nesebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)