Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EVV vs Groene Ster

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EVV host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: EVV at 1.36 goals for, 2.54 against; Groene Ster at 1.33 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor EVV slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.31, favoring Groene Ster. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
EVV
20%
Draws
58%
Groene Ster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groene Ster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Groene Ster have won more games recently than EVV.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Groene Ster taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV Groene Ster
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs EVV
3:2
Oct 30, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Groene Ster
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Groene Ster
0:0
Oct 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs EVV
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Groene Ster
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 22 / 100
Groene Ster 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV Groene Ster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groene Ster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Groene Ster conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: EVV scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: EVV stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS Groene Ster
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
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Groene Ster

(Away)
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3
Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3
VVSB
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 5 5 0 0 14:3 15
2 ACV Assen 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
3 Harkemase Boys 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
4 VV Scherpenzeel 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
5 Excelsior 31 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Sportlust 5 2 3 0 12:9 9
7 Purmersteijn 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 TEC 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 VV Hoogeveen 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
11 Sparta Nijkerk 5 1 2 2 13:14 5
12 VV DOVO 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
13 Staphorst 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
14 Eemdijk 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
15 USV Hercules 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
17 HVV Hollandia 5 0 1 4 12:18 1
18 SVZW Wierden 5 0 1 4 8:18 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 5 5 0 0 11:4 15
2 VV Noordwijk 5 4 1 0 9:0 13
3 Rijnvogels 5 3 2 0 15:6 11
4 RKSV UDI 19 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 SV Poortugaal 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Dongen 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
7 Excelsior Maassluis 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 GOES 5 2 2 1 11:12 8
9 Roosendaal 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
10 Gemert 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 UNA 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Blauw Geel 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Groene Ster 5 1 2 2 9:12 5
14 VVSB 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
15 VV Zwaluwen 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
16 Achilles Veen 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
17 TOGB 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
18 EVV 5 0 0 5 6:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)