Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EVV vs Roosendaal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EVV host Roosendaal in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. EVV have averaged 1.29 scored and 2.29 conceded recently, against Roosendaal's 2.03 scored and 1.86 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.75 - 1.94) back Roosendaal to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
EVV
20%
Draws
30%
Roosendaal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Roosendaal have won more games recently than EVV.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on EVV taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV Roosendaal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.29 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 74 / 100
Roosendaal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV Roosendaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roosendaal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

EVV scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

EVV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Roosendaal's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS Roosendaal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
10 Oct
Achilles Veen
1 : 0
EVV
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6

Roosendaal

(Away)
10 Oct
Roosendaal
2 : 4
VV Zwaluwen
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3
Roosendaal
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)