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EVV vs VV Noordwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between EVV and VV Noordwijk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Noordwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
EVV
20%
Draws
56%
VV Noordwijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VV Noordwijk come out ahead of EVV on wins alone.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV VV Noordwijk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
EVV vs VV Noordwijk
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 10 / 100
VV Noordwijk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV VV Noordwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EVV's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: EVV stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: VV Noordwijk conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS VV Noordwijk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
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VV Noordwijk

(Away)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)