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Excelsior 31 vs Alkmaarse FC 1934 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Peppels K.
15' Event
Holsink S.
17' Event
Sprenkeling H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Excelsior 31
15%
Draws
28%
Alkmaarse FC 1934
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior 31 lately — more wins on the board than Alkmaarse FC 1934.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Excelsior 31 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior 31, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%
Alkmaarse FC 1934 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 Alkmaarse FC 1934
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.9 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.35 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 KNVB Beker
Excelsior 31 vs Alkmaarse FC 1934
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peppels K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holsink S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Alkmaarse FC 1934 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sprenkeling H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Feijen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 83 / 100
Alkmaarse FC 1934 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 Alkmaarse FC 1934

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior 31 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Alkmaarse FC 1934's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Excelsior 31 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS Alkmaarse FC 1934
1.63 Goals Scored 3.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 7

Alkmaarse FC 1934

(Away)
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
01 Sept
Alkmaarse FC 1934
4 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
24 Aug
Alkmaarse FC 1934
2 : 6
Rijnvogels
17 Aug
Alkmaarse FC 1934
4 : 1
VV Bennekom
08 Jul
Alkmaarse FC 1934
1 : 8
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
TBD -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
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GVVV -
TBD -
ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
TBD -
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
TBD -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
TBD -
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
TBD -
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
TBD -
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
TBD -
TBD -
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
TBD -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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