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Excelsior 31 vs Genemuiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior 31 host Genemuiden in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Genemuiden have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Excelsior 31 have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.96. Head-to-head, Excelsior 31 have won 0 to Genemuiden's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.63) point toward Genemuiden. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Excelsior 31
15%
Draws
35%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 haven't matched Genemuiden's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 14%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 Genemuiden
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.96 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Excelsior 31
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Genemuiden
1:3
Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Excelsior 31
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Genemuiden
0:4
Jun 3, 2023 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Genemuiden
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 84 / 100
Genemuiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excelsior 31 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Excelsior 31 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Genemuiden has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS Genemuiden
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

Genemuiden

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)