Sport Picks
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Excelsior 31 and Harkemase Boys finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harkemase Boys.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Harkemase Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excelsior 31 a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 16%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | Harkemase Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 KNVB Beker
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:2
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 36 / 100
Harkemase Boys 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 Harkemase Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior 31's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Harkemase Boys conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Excelsior 31 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS Harkemase Boys
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
Page 1 of 3
Harkemase Boys
(Away) 19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
