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Excelsior 31 vs ONS Sneek Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ezafzafi H.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Penterman H.
64' Event
Reinders D.

AI Match Summary

Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Excelsior 31
20%
Draws
6%
ONS Sneek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 have won more games recently than ONS Sneek.
  • Model gives Excelsior 31 a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 20%
ONS Sneek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 ONS Sneek
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 16 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Excelsior 31
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs ONS Sneek
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diks J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Penterman H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

ONS Sneek Compare

Top Goalscorer Dommerholt J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 85 / 100
ONS Sneek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 ONS Sneek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excelsior 31 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

ONS Sneek has conceded goals in 100% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Excelsior 31 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

ONS Sneek

(Away)
03 Sept
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
ONS Sneek
12 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
ONS Sneek
09 Jul
Cambuur
11 : 0
ONS Sneek
07 Mar
Sparta Nijkerk
4 : 1
ONS Sneek
29 Feb
ONS Sneek
1 : 1
GOES
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)