Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Excelsior 31 and Purmersteijn finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Purmersteijn haven't matched Excelsior 31's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 17%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | Purmersteijn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 11 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Purmersteijn
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 30 / 100
Purmersteijn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 Purmersteijn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior 31 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Purmersteijn let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Excelsior 31 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS Purmersteijn
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
Purmersteijn
(Away) 12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Purmersteijn
4 : 3 RKVV Zwaluw
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 0 Purmersteijn
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genemuiden | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 15 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | TEC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 9 | VV Hoogeveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 10 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Nijkerk | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 5 |
| 12 | VV DOVO | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 16 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisse | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 13 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 4 | RKSV UDI 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | SV Poortugaal | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | GOES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 14 | VVSB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 15 | VV Zwaluwen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
