Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Urk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excelsior 31 have won more games recently than Urk.
- Excelsior 31 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | Urk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Excelsior 31
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Urk
0:1
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Urk
2:2
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Excelsior 31
1:3
May 13, 2023 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Excelsior 31
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
Urk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 Urk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excelsior 31 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Urk conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Excelsior 31 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS Urk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4 Excelsior 31
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
09 May
TEC
1 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
11 Apr
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Rohda Raalte
14 Mar
Excelsior 31
2 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 3
Urk
(Away) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
Page 1 of 6
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
21 Mar
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Urk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
