Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Excelsior 31 host VV Hoogeveen in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Excelsior 31 at 1.25 goals for, 1.38 against; VV Hoogeveen at 1.38 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Excelsior 31 have won 1 to VV Hoogeveen's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring VV Hoogeveen. VV Hoogeveen in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Excelsior 31

22%

Draws

18%

VV Hoogeveen

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

VV Hoogeveen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Excelsior 31.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Excelsior 31.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Derde Divisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 17%

VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excelsior 31	VV Hoogeveen
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	15
Draws	4	4
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Derde Divisie

Excelsior 31 vs VV Hoogeveen

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

3:3

Aug 30, 2025 Derde Divisie

VV Hoogeveen vs Excelsior 31

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 57 / 100

VV Hoogeveen 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excelsior 31 VV Hoogeveen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior 31 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

VV Hoogeveen let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Excelsior 31 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VV Hoogeveen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS VV Hoogeveen

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25