Sport Picks
Excelsior Maassluis vs Blauw Geel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Excelsior Maassluis in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior Maassluis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excelsior Maassluis have won more games recently than Blauw Geel.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Blauw Geel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Blauw Geel
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Blauw Geel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior Maassluis Blauw Geel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blauw Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Excelsior Maassluis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior Maassluis VS Blauw Geel
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home) 03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 3
Blauw Geel
(Away) 04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1 UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2 Blauw Geel
15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
