Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Menelik A.
27'
Heuvelman D.
46'
Sub
Menelik A. In: de Leeuw D.
Out: Menelik A.

AI Match Summary

GVVV in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored GVVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Excelsior Maassluis
15%
Draws
31%
GVVV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • GVVV have won more games recently than Excelsior Maassluis.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 11%
GVVV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis GVVV
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie
GVVV vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
GVVV vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

GVVV Compare

Top Goalscorer Spies J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 38 / 100
GVVV 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis GVVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

GVVV has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Excelsior Maassluis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS GVVV
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

GVVV

(Away)
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
01 Aug
GVVV
6 : 3
Huizen
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2
Eemdijk
23 May
Jong Almere City
5 : 4
GVVV
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1
AFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)