Sport Picks

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

KNVB Beker Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis

Heerenveen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Excelsior Maassluis at 1.52 goals for, 1.35 against; Heerenveen at 2 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor Heerenveen slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2019, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.00, favoring Heerenveen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Excelsior Maassluis

20%

Draws

20%

Heerenveen

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence

Excelsior Maassluis have won more games recently than Heerenveen.
Excelsior Maassluis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Excelsior Maassluis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Heerenveen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%

Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excelsior Maassluis	Heerenveen
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	14	13
Draws	4	6
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.52	2
Goals Conceded	1.35	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 KNVB Beker

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100

Heerenveen 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excelsior Maassluis Heerenveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Heerenveen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Heerenveen

2 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)

03 Oct

VVSB

2 : 3

Excelsior Maassluis

26 Sept

Excelsior Maassluis

1 : 0

Blauw Geel

22 Sept

Sportlust

0 : 2

Excelsior Maassluis

19 Sept

Excelsior Maassluis

5 : 0

Roosendaal

12 Sept

Achilles Veen

2 : 3

Excelsior Maassluis

Page 1 of 7

Heerenveen

(Away)

09 Oct

PSV

2 : 0

Heerenveen

19 Sept

Sparta Rotterdam

0 : 4

Heerenveen

13 Sept

Heerenveen

0 : 0

Telstar

06 Sept

Heerenveen

2 : 3

AZ Alkmaar

30 Aug

Willem II

2 : 2

Heerenveen

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

ACV Assen 6

Westlandia 1

VV Hoogeveen 3

SVZW Wierden 2

Groene Ster 2

VV Heerjansdam 1

Be Quick 1887 0

AFC 2

Hardenberg -

TBD -

Barendrecht -

TBD -

Harkemase Boys 0

Excelsior 31 1

Alkmaarse FC 1934 4

VV Scherpenzeel 1

TBD -

Sportlust 3

Blauw Geel 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 1

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

ATC 65 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

GOES 0

VV Noordwijk 1

HZVV Hoogeveen 0

Frisia 4

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 2

Venray 0

Rkvv Spartaan 20 0

RKSV UDI 19 5

Dongen 2

Watergraafsmeer 4

TEC 4

Almkerk 2

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Longa '30 0

Koninklijke HFC 4

Surhusterfean 1

VV DOVO 2

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Mierlo-Hout 2

Germania Groesbeek 3

TBD -

Kozakken Boys -

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Elinkwijk 0

Eemdijk 3

GSV 28 0

Roosendaal 4

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Spakenburg -

TOGB 3

Katwijk 2

TBD -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 3

UNA 2

Genemuiden 2

Lisse 1

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

Lierop 0

VV Zwaluwen 7

Purmersteijn 4

RKVV Zwaluw 3

IJsselmeervogels -

TBD -

FC 's-Gravenzande 0

Gemert 2

NSVV 2

VV Kloetinge 4

Achilles Veen 4

SV Poortugaal 2

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 5

VV Bennekom 0

VVSB 2

Ajax (Am) 0

USV Hercules 1

EVV 3

HVV Hollandia 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

TBD -

1/64-finals

ACV Assen 2

VV Hoogeveen 1

Groene Ster 1

AFC 6

Hardenberg 0

Barendrecht 1

TBD -

Excelsior 31 4

Alkmaarse FC 1934 3

TBD -

Sportlust 0

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV 4

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

VV Noordwijk 1

Frisia 0

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 3

RKSV UDI 19 1

Watergraafsmeer 5

TEC 4

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC 3

VV DOVO 1

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Germania Groesbeek 1

Kozakken Boys 5

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Eemdijk 2

Roosendaal 1

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam 3

Spakenburg 2

TOGB 4

Rohda Raalte 6

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 2

Genemuiden 3

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

VV Zwaluwen 0

Purmersteijn 1

IJsselmeervogels 0

Gemert 3

VV Kloetinge 8

Achilles Veen 0

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 0

VVSB 1

EVV 3

RKSV Halsteren 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

ACV Assen -

AFC -

Barendrecht -

Waalwijk -

De Treffers -

Heracles -

Excelsior 31 -

Den Haag -

Excelsior Maassluis -

Heerenveen -

Eindhoven FC -

FC Volendam -

Groningen -

FC Emmen -

GVVV -

VV Noordwijk -

Helmond Sport -

Willem II -

HSV Hoek -

Sparta Nijkerk -

Watergraafsmeer -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC -

G.A. Eagles -

Kozakken Boys -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

Eemdijk -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

De Graafschap -

Genemuiden -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

Sittard -

Telstar -

Almere City -

Purmersteijn -

Gemert -

VV Kloetinge -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

Vitesse -

VVSB -

EVV -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

Excelsior Maassluis

Heerenveen

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

Heerenveen

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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