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Excelsior Maassluis vs IJsselmeervogels

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Hamd Y.
31'
Sub
Tureaij C. In: Riley B.
Out: Tureaij C.
45'
Slagveer D.

AI Match Summary

Excelsior Maassluis in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Excelsior Maassluis
22%
Draws
60%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • IJsselmeervogels have won more games recently than Excelsior Maassluis.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on IJsselmeervogels taking it.
  • IJsselmeervogels arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IJsselmeervogels, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 11%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:0
Jun 10, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs IJsselmeervogels
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior Maassluis
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs IJsselmeervogels
0:4
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamd Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ringeling K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Dkidak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 18 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis IJsselmeervogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IJS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

IJsselmeervogels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS IJsselmeervogels
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Rijnvogels
03 Jun
Rijnvogels
2 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

IJsselmeervogels

(Away)
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Jun
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 7
IJsselmeervogels
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk3
Lisse0
Sparta Nijkerk1
IJsselmeervogels5
Rijnvogels3
DVS '33 Ermelo2
VVSB1
Excelsior Maassluis4
Semi-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk0
IJsselmeervogels8
Rijnvogels3
Excelsior Maassluis4
Final
IJsselmeervogels3
Excelsior Maassluis2