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Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong NAC Breda

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
74' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Excelsior Maassluis and Jong NAC Breda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Excelsior Maassluis
30%
Draws
19%
Jong NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong NAC Breda's 2 goals per match outpaces what Excelsior Maassluis have produced (1.71).
  • Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Jong NAC Breda
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.71 2
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong NAC Breda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Jong NAC Breda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Jong NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Jong NAC Breda has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
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Jong NAC Breda

(Away)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
Page 1 of 6