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Excelsior Maassluis vs NAC Breda

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tue, Jul 15, 2025
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior Maassluis host NAC Breda in the Club Friendly 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Excelsior Maassluis at 1.68 goals for, 1.36 against; NAC Breda at 1.32 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Excelsior Maassluis have won 0 to NAC Breda's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.31) back Excelsior Maassluis to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Excelsior Maassluis
20%
Draws
28%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior Maassluis have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 18%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis NAC Breda
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs NAC Breda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
NAC Breda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAC Breda has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS NAC Breda
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
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NAC Breda

(Away)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2
Jong Ajax
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