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Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Excelsior Maassluis and TOGB finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior Maassluis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Excelsior Maassluis
22%
Draws
18%
TOGB
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TOGB come out ahead of Excelsior Maassluis on wins alone.
  • Excelsior Maassluis are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 16%
TOGB Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis TOGB
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB
3:0
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 57 / 100
TOGB 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis TOGB

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS TOGB
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%