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Excelsior Maassluis vs VV Noordwijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Excelsior Maassluis and VV Noordwijk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Excelsior Maassluis
15%
Draws
38%
VV Noordwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VV Noordwijk come out ahead of Excelsior Maassluis on wins alone.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis VV Noordwijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs VV Noordwijk
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs VV Noordwijk
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs VV Noordwijk
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Tweede Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 24 / 100
VV Noordwijk 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis VV Noordwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

VV Noordwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS VV Noordwijk
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

VV Noordwijk

(Away)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)