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Excelsior vs Aiglon Lamentin

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
64%
Aiglon Lamentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aiglon Lamentin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aiglon Lamentin lately — more wins on the board than Excelsior.
  • Win probability leans Aiglon Lamentin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aiglon Lamentin have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Aiglon Lamentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Aiglon Lamentin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 3 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Excelsior
8:0
Oct 22, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Aiglon Lamentin
0:2
Apr 2, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Excelsior
3:2
Oct 31, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Aiglon Lamentin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 10 / 100
Aiglon Lamentin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Aiglon Lamentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aiglon Lamentin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aiglon Lamentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Excelsior remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aiglon Lamentin
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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Aiglon Lamentin

(Away)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Aiglon Lamentin
2 : 0
Robert
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
09 May
Aiglon Lamentin
5 : 2
Emulation
25 Apr
Franciscain
3 : 0
Aiglon Lamentin
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