Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior vs Cambuur

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
de Regt G.
19' Event
54' Event
El Hamdaoui N.

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Excelsior
6%
Draws
4%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cambuur have won more games recently than Excelsior.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 18%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Cambuur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Cambuur
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Cambuur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer de Regt G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Hamdaoui N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Goot W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruinsma Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Cambuur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Excelsior went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Cambuur conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Cambuur
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
17 May
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6