Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior vs Cambuur

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
de Regt G.
19' Event
54' Event
El Hamdaoui N.

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Excelsior
20%
Draws
7%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Cambuur.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Cambuur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:4
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Cambuur
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Excelsior
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer de Regt G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Hamdaoui N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Goot W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruinsma Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Cambuur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Cambuur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Excelsior has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Cambuur
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2
PSV
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4
Excelsior
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Cambuur

(Away)
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4
Excelsior
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