Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior vs G.A. Eagles

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Dirksen J.
46'
Sub
Kramer J. In: van Zwam G.
Out: Kramer J.
54' Event
Tengstedt S.
Assist: Margaret R.

AI Match Summary

G.A. Eagles in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored G.A. Eagles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
32%
G.A. Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than G.A. Eagles.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
G.A. Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior G.A. Eagles
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 3.13 4.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs G.A. Eagles
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs Excelsior
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs Excelsior
3:0
Dec 16, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs G.A. Eagles
1:1
Apr 14, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs G.A. Eagles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

G.A. Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Tengstedt S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.86
Avg xA / game 2.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 83 / 100
G.A. Eagles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior G.A. Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Excelsior went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

G.A. Eagles has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS G.A. Eagles
3.13 Goals Scored 4.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5
Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

G.A. Eagles

(Away)
02 Aug
Luton
0 : 1
G.A. Eagles
25 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 0
OFI Crete
18 Jul
Lommel SK
2 : 1
G.A. Eagles
11 Jul
G.A. Eagles
0 : 3
Apollon Limassol
08 Jul
G.A. Eagles
2 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)