Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Excelsior host Groningen in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Excelsior at 2 goals for, 1.48 against; Groningen at 1.48 for, 1.65 against. Past meetings favor Groningen slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.50 - 1.38) back Excelsior to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Groningen has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home)Groningen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
