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Excelsior vs JS Gauloise

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Regionale 1 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2024 game between Excelsior and JS Gauloise finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
0%
JS Gauloise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of JS Gauloise on wins alone.
  • Model gives Excelsior a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Excelsior have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
JS Gauloise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior JS Gauloise
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 3 28
Goals Scored 2.29 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.68 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs JS Gauloise
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Regionale 1
JS Gauloise vs Excelsior
1:3
Sep 5, 2010 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs JS Gauloise
1:2
Apr 24, 2010 Regionale 1
JS Gauloise vs Excelsior
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
JS Gauloise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior JS Gauloise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

JS Gauloise let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: JS Gauloise has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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JS Gauloise

(Away)
24 Nov
JS Gauloise
2 : 10
Tamponnaise
10 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
7 : 0
JS Gauloise
03 Nov
JS Gauloise
0 : 5
Saint-Louisienne
27 Oct
JS Gauloise
0 : 4
Saint Louis
13 Oct
Sainte-Suzanne
2 : 1
JS Gauloise
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