Sport Picks

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Excelsior vs OCSA Leopards

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
0%
OCSA Leopards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than OCSA Leopards.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Excelsior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
OCSA Leopards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior OCSA Leopards
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 2.19 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.72 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Regionale 1
OCSA Leopards vs Excelsior
1:3
Jun 25, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs OCSA Leopards
3:0
Sep 30, 2018 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs OCSA Leopards
6:1
May 6, 2018 Regionale 1
OCSA Leopards vs Excelsior
0:2
Nov 16, 2017 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs OCSA Leopards
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
OCSA Leopards 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior OCSA Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

OCSA Leopards let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

OCSA Leopards lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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OCSA Leopards

(Away)
26 Nov
Saint-Denis
4 : 2
OCSA Leopards
19 Nov
OCSA Leopards
1 : 3
Excelsior
12 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
2 : 0
OCSA Leopards
05 Nov
OCSA Leopards
0 : 4
Tamponnaise
22 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
3 : 2
OCSA Leopards
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