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Excelsior vs Sainte Rose

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Excelsior
20%
Draws
32%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Sainte Rose.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Excelsior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Sainte Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Sainte Rose
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Excelsior
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Sainte Rose
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Excelsior
1:2
Nov 27, 2022 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Sainte Rose
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Sainte Rose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Sainte Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Sainte Rose has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Excelsior stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Sainte Rose
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Sainte Rose

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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