Sport Picks
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Eredivisie Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam 
Match Events
20'
20'
Toornstra J.
24'
24'
Sliti A.
28'
28'
Janssen S.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excelsior carry the better recent record into this one.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 16%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
4:2
Oct 1, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Sliti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Groen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Sparta Rotterdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Zonneveld M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 84 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Excelsior stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior VS Sparta Rotterdam
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home) 19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2 Cambuur
10 May
Excelsior
1 : 1 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Rotterdam
(Away) 19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3 Sparta Rotterdam
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2 Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Meppen
3 : 2 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
