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Excelsior vs Tamponnaise

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Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Excelsior and Tamponnaise finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
31%
Tamponnaise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of Tamponnaise on wins alone.
  • Model gives Excelsior a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Tamponnaise
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Tamponnaise
2:0
May 25, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Excelsior
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Excelsior
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Tamponnaise
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Tamponnaise
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Tamponnaise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Tamponnaise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tamponnaise has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Tamponnaise
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Tamponnaise

(Away)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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