Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Naujoks N.
Assist: Sanches Fernandes D.
17'
17'
Naujoks N.
29'
29'
Didden M.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Utrecht.
- Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 18%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Utrecht
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Excelsior
4:1
Jan 27, 2024 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Utrecht
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Excelsior
2:2
Jan 25, 2023 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Excelsior
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanches Fernandes D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Naujoks N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Utrecht Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 85 / 100
Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Excelsior remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Utrecht conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior VS Utrecht
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home) 07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2 Cambuur
10 May
Excelsior
1 : 1 FC Volendam
26 Apr
Excelsior
5 : 0 Utrecht
04 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2 Nijmegen
07 Mar
Excelsior
1 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 3
Utrecht
(Away) 09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1 Utrecht
02 Aug
Utrecht
0 : 1 Sevilla
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1 Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0 Utrecht
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1 Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1 Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0 Utrecht
24 May
Ajax
2 : 1 Utrecht
10 May
Ajax
1 : 2 Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
