Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B 2025 Excursionistas Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Peralta C.
17'
Sub
Peralta C. In: Velazco N.
Out: Peralta C.
29' Event
Scarnato L.

AI Match Summary

Argentino de Merlo in this Primera B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentino de Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Excursionistas
30%
Draws
34%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Excursionistas have won more games recently than Argentino de Merlo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Excursionistas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 17%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarate J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarnato L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 36 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Argentino de Merlo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Excursionistas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS Argentino de Merlo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentino de Merlo7
Excursionistas1
Deportivo Armenio2
Sportivo Italiano1
Real Pilar3
Flandria1
Acassuso1
Villa San Carlos0
Semi-finals
Argentino de Merlo1
Deportivo Armenio2
Real Pilar1
Acassuso2
Final
Deportivo Armenio1
Acassuso2