Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
1'
1'
Polvera M.
40'
40'
Espeche A.
46'
46'
Sub
Lopez F. In: Marcial C.
Out: Lopez F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Argentino de Merlo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excursionistas a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Argentino de Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Excursionistas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Damiolini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Argentino de Merlo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 95 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Argentino de Merlo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Excursionistas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Argentino de Merlo
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
31 Jul
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 3
Argentino de Merlo
(Away) 20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Villa Dalmine
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
08 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
25 Jul
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 56:29 | 71 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 48:24 | 66 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 37:19 | 64 |
| 4 | Deportivo Camioneros | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 42:24 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 38:21 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 41:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 40:35 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:38 | 54 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 38:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 35:37 | 47 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 38:38 | 44 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 32:36 | 44 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36:50 | 43 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 35:39 | 41 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29:36 | 41 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 30:37 | 40 |
| 18 | Flandria | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32:45 | 38 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31:38 | 37 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 21:37 | 35 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 36 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18:33 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 36 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 23:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
