Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Excursionistas Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excursionistas host Argentino de Quilmes in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Argentino de Quilmes have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Excursionistas have conceded 0.88 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, Excursionistas have won 0 to Argentino de Quilmes's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Excursionistas. Excursionistas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Excursionistas
11%
Draws
9%
Argentino de Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Argentino de Quilmes haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
  • Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 20%
Argentino de Quilmes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excursionistas Argentino de Quilmes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Excursionistas
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Excursionistas
2:1
Dec 2, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Excursionistas
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 76 / 100
Argentino de Quilmes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excursionistas Argentino de Quilmes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Argentino de Quilmes has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Excursionistas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS Argentino de Quilmes
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419