Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera B Excursionistas Stadium

Excursionistas

0 - 1

Arsenal Sarandi

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Cabral D.

55'

Sub

Cabral D. In: La Roza U.

Out: Cabral D.

55'

Sub

Blanco M. In: Lopez M.

Out: Blanco M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Excursionistas

44%

Draws

20%

Arsenal Sarandi

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Excursionistas.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Excursionistas Clean Sheet 19%

Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excursionistas	Arsenal Sarandi
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	14
Draws	6	8
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Primera B

Excursionistas vs Arsenal Sarandi

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excursionistas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 36 / 100

Arsenal Sarandi 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excursionistas Arsenal Sarandi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excursionistas's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Excursionistas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Sarandi has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS Arsenal Sarandi

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Sarandi	24	13	8	3	36:18	47
2	Villa Dalmine	24	13	7	4	30:14	46
3	Talleres Remedios Escalada	24	13	7	4	27:11	46
4	Excursionistas	24	13	6	5	35:17	45
5	Deportivo Camioneros	24	11	8	5	28:17	41
6	Sportivo Italiano	24	10	8	6	24:20	38
7	Real Pilar	24	10	7	7	27:25	37
8	Argentino de Merlo	24	9	7	8	24:21	34
9	Comunicaciones	24	9	7	8	28:26	34
10	Deportivo Armenio	24	9	6	9	26:28	33
11	San Martin Burzaco	24	7	11	6	23:20	32
12	Laferrere	24	8	8	8	26:30	32
13	Dep. Merlo	24	8	8	8	27:35	32
14	Dock Sud	24	6	9	9	25:24	27
15	Argentino de Quilmes	24	6	9	9	24:28	27
16	CSD Liniers	24	6	8	10	16:24	26
17	Defensores Unidos	24	5	9	10	20:27	24
18	Brown Adrogue	24	5	9	10	16:27	24
19	UAI Urquiza	24	3	14	7	12:20	23
20	Flandria	24	6	5	13	19:31	23
21	Villa San Carlos	24	4	10	10	24:30	22
22	Ituzaingo	24	1	7	16	17:41	10