Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Laferrere
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
13'
13'
Polvera M.
21'
21'
Avalos A.
36'
36'
Pedrosa G.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Laferrere finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Laferrere haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Excursionistas taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Laferrere Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Laferrere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Laferrere
5:3
Apr 4, 2026 Primera B
Laferrere vs Excursionistas
1:0
Oct 21, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Laferrere
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Primera B
Laferrere vs Excursionistas
2:0
Sep 20, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Laferrere
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alaniz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Laferrere Compare
Top Goalscorer Moran J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Denis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 59 / 100
Laferrere 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Laferrere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Excursionistas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Laferrere let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Excursionistas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Laferrere
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
31 Jul
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 3
Laferrere
(Away) 19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1 Villa San Carlos
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2 Laferrere
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
25 Aug
UAI Urquiza
0 : 2 Laferrere
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2 Laferrere
25 Aug
UAI Urquiza
0 : 2 Laferrere
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
01 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 3 Laferrere
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 56:29 | 71 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 48:24 | 66 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 42:24 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 37:19 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 38:21 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 41:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 40:35 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:38 | 54 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 38:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 35:37 | 47 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 38:38 | 43 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 30:35 | 41 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35:39 | 40 |
| 15 | CSD Liniers | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:35 | 40 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:36 | 40 |
| 17 | Dep. Merlo | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34:49 | 40 |
| 18 | Flandria | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31:38 | 37 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 21:37 | 35 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 36 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18:33 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 36 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 23:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
