Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
4'
4'
Ledesma D.
14'
14'
Sub
Riquelme M. D. In: Rodriguez E.
Out: Riquelme M. D.
25'
25'
Tellas G.
AI Match Summary
Excursionistas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excursionistas have won more games recently than Real Pilar.
- Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Excursionistas have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
3:0
May 16, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Tellas G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Damiolini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Real Pilar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 95 / 100
Real Pilar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Real Pilar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Real Pilar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Excursionistas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Real Pilar
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
Page 1 of 3
Real Pilar
(Away) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
22 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 1 Real Pilar
08 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59:29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 38:21 | 64 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42:27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39:38 | 57 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 38:33 | 54 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44:49 | 48 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37:40 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36:51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 29:36 | 42 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32:38 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24:37 | 38 |
| 20 | Flandria | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 37 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 18:33 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23:59 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
