Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs San Martin Burzaco
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
11'
11'
Espeche A.
46'
46'
Orellana D.
48'
48'
Gauna N. A.
AI Match Summary
Excursionistas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excursionistas lately — more wins on the board than San Martin Burzaco.
- Win probability leans Excursionistas's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Excursionistas have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | San Martin Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs San Martin Burzaco
2:0
Sep 22, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs San Martin Burzaco
4:2
May 3, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs San Martin Burzaco
4:2
Mar 30, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Excursionistas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Espeche A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedrosa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
San Martin Burzaco Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 77 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas San Martin Burzaco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
San Martin Burzaco let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Excursionistas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS San Martin Burzaco
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
Page 1 of 3
San Martin Burzaco
(Away) 26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
30 Aug
Flandria
2 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
30 Aug
Flandria
2 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
22 Aug
Defensores Unidos
2 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
09 Aug
Dock Sud
4 : 1 San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59:29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 38:21 | 64 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42:27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39:38 | 57 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 38:33 | 54 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44:49 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37:40 | 47 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 38:38 | 44 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36:51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 29:36 | 42 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32:38 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 19 | Flandria | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32:45 | 38 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24:37 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 37 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 18:33 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23:59 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
