Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excursionistas host Villa San Carlos in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Excursionistas at 1.71 goals for, 0.89 against; Villa San Carlos at 1 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Excursionistas slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Excursionistas to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Excursionistas
30%
Draws
23%
Villa San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa San Carlos haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
  • Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 20%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excursionistas Villa San Carlos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 85 / 100
Villa San Carlos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excursionistas Villa San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Villa San Carlos conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Excursionistas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS Villa San Carlos
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excursionistas

(Home)
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6

Villa San Carlos

(Away)
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1
Villa San Carlos
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
30 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 Dock Sud 37 11 14 12 40:39 47
12 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
20 Flandria 37 10 8 19 33:47 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)