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Exeter U21 vs Norwich U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Mon, Sep 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Exeter U21 have averaged 1.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Norwich U21's 1.55 scored and 1.65 conceded. Past meetings favor Exeter U21 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 20, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.43) point toward Exeter U21. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Exeter U21
20%
Draws
61%
Norwich U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norwich U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Norwich U21 have won more games recently than Exeter U21.
  • Model gives Norwich U21 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Norwich U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Exeter U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U21 Norwich U21
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Premier League Cup
Norwich U21 vs Exeter U21
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Norwich U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U21 15 / 100
Norwich U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U21 Norwich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norwich U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Exeter U21 scored in 77% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Exeter U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Norwich U21
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U21

(Home)
16 Dec
Exeter U21
1 : 2
West Brom U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
24 Nov
Brentford U21
3 : 0
Exeter U21
15 Oct
West Brom U21
0 : 0
Exeter U21
30 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 0
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 3

Norwich U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
28 Aug
Norwich U21
0 : 0
Stoke City U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Gillingham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Birmingham U21 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Exeter U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams