Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 St James Park, Exeter

Exeter U23

0 - 5

Nottingham U23

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Gomis V.

54'

Gomis V.

68'

Gomis V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Exeter U23

20%

Draws

57%

Nottingham U23

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Nottingham U23 have won more games recently than Exeter U23.
Model gives Nottingham U23 a 57% chance of winning this.
Nottingham U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nottingham U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Exeter U23	Nottingham U23
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	13	16
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.69	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2019 Premier League Cup

Exeter U23 vs Nottingham U23

0:5

Oct 7, 2018 Premier League Cup

Nottingham U23 vs Exeter U23

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomis V.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Lawrence-Gabriel J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.01

Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 18 / 100

Nottingham U23 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Exeter U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham U23 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Exeter U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Nottingham U23

1.33 Goals Scored 2.75

1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 75%

33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)

22 Feb

Wolves U23

0 : 2

Exeter U23

18 Jan

Exeter U23

0 : 3

West Ham U23

14 Jan

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

13 Oct

West Ham U23

3 : 2

Exeter U23

15 Sept

Exeter U23

2 : 3

Wolves U23

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Nottingham U23

(Away)

15 May

Stoke City U23

2 : 0

Nottingham U23

29 Apr

Birmingham U23

0 : 3

Nottingham U23

22 Apr

Nottingham U23

1 : 1

Middlesbrough U23

04 Apr

Nottingham U23

2 : 0

Stoke City U23

01 Apr

Nottingham U23

1 : 0

Wolves U23

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