Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020 St James Park, Exeter

Exeter U23

2 - 1

Portsmouth U23

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Seymour B.

72'

Dyer J.

78'

Whatmough J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Exeter U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Exeter U23

20%

Draws

16%

Portsmouth U23

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Portsmouth U23 haven't matched Exeter U23's recent run of results.
Model gives Exeter U23 a 64% chance of winning this.
Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Exeter U23	Portsmouth U23
Matches Played	29	25
Wins	13	9
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.69	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	2.56	0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2020 Premier League Cup

Exeter U23 vs Portsmouth U23

2:1

Jan 9, 2020 Premier League Cup

Portsmouth U23 vs Exeter U23

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dyer J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.97

Avg xA / game 1.28

Portsmouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Whatmough J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 85 / 100

Portsmouth U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Exeter U23 Portsmouth U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Exeter U23 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Portsmouth U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Difficult form: Portsmouth U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Portsmouth U23

2.13 Goals Scored 0.83

0.75 Goals Conceded 3

88% Over 1.5 83%

63% Over 2.5 83%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)

22 Feb

Wolves U23

0 : 2

Exeter U23

18 Jan

Exeter U23

0 : 3

West Ham U23

14 Jan

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

13 Oct

West Ham U23

3 : 2

Exeter U23

15 Sept

Exeter U23

2 : 3

Wolves U23

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Portsmouth U23

(Away)

25 Feb

Portsmouth U23

0 : 3

Aston Villa U23

04 Feb

Exeter U23

2 : 1

Portsmouth U23

21 Jan

Portsmouth U23

2 : 4

Doncaster U23

09 Jan

Portsmouth U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

29 Nov

Aston Villa U23

6 : 0

Portsmouth U23

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