Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter U23 vs West Ham U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Ashby H.
77' Event
Oko-Flex A.
85' Event
Nevers T.

AI Match Summary

West Ham U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Exeter U23
15%
Draws
51%
West Ham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham U23 lately — more wins on the board than Exeter U23.
  • West Ham U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • West Ham U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 16%
West Ham U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U23 West Ham U23
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.69 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2022 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs West Ham U23
0:3
Oct 13, 2021 Premier League Cup
West Ham U23 vs Exeter U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

West Ham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashby H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oko-Flex A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 23 / 100
West Ham U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U23 West Ham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

West Ham U23 let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: West Ham U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS West Ham U23
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

West Ham U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Maidenhead
4 : 2
West Ham U23
25 Jul
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
West Ham U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4
West Ham U23
22 Apr
West Ham U23
0 : 1
Fulham U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)