Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter vs Accrington

England England

League Two St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fitzwater J.
Assist: Woodhouse L.
13' Event
Conneely S.
Own Goal
45'
Woods J.

AI Match Summary

Exeter in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Exeter
30%
Draws
47%
Accrington
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Accrington lately — more wins on the board than Exeter.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Exeter Clean Sheet 20%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Accrington
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Exeter vs Accrington
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 League One
Exeter vs Accrington
5:0
Aug 27, 2022 League One
Accrington vs Exeter
0:0
Apr 14, 2018 League Two
Accrington vs Exeter
1:1
Nov 25, 2017 League Two
Exeter vs Accrington
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzwater J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Accrington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 32 / 100
Accrington 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Accrington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Accrington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Accrington has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Exeter has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Accrington
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0
Exeter
10 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Exeter
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1
Exeter
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Accrington

(Away)
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2
Colchester
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1
Accrington
01 Aug
Accrington
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bury FC
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walsall 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Barnet 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Oldham 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 York City 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Crewe 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Colchester 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Accrington 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Northampton 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Swindon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Exeter 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
21 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
22 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
23 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
24 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)