Sport Picks
Exeter vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two St James Park, Exeter 
Match Events
2'
2'
Fitzwater J.
Assist: Woodhouse L.
13'
13'
Edwards G.
45'
45'
Woods J.
AI Match Summary
Exeter in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Accrington lately — more wins on the board than Exeter.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Exeter Clean Sheet 20%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Exeter | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Exeter vs Accrington
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 League One
Exeter vs Accrington
5:0
Aug 27, 2022 League One
Accrington vs Exeter
0:0
Apr 14, 2018 League Two
Accrington vs Exeter
1:1
Nov 25, 2017 League Two
Exeter vs Accrington
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Exeter Compare
Top Goalscorer Fitzwater J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edwards G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Accrington Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Exeter 36 / 100
Accrington 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Exeter Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Accrington has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Exeter remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Exeter VS Accrington
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Exeter
(Home) 10 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 Exeter
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
08 Sept
Exeter
2 : 0 Tottenham U21
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Accrington
(Away) 10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 5 | York City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
