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Exeter vs Barnet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Comley B.
27'
Sub
Oluwabori A. In: Sutherland E.
Out: Oluwabori A.
41'
Lakin C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Exeter
30%
Draws
37%
Barnet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Exeter haven't matched Barnet's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Exeter have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Exeter Clean Sheet 18%
Barnet Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Barnet
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Exeter vs Barnet
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Exeter vs Barnet
5:3
Dec 30, 2017 League Two
Exeter vs Barnet
2:1
Sep 12, 2017 League Two
Barnet vs Exeter
1:2
Apr 14, 2017 League Two
Exeter vs Barnet
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barnet Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 32 / 100
Barnet 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Barnet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnet has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Exeter's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Exeter remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Barnet
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
07 Nov
Huddersfield
1 : 2
Exeter
31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Exeter
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1
Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Colchester
0 : 0
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Barnet

(Away)
10 Nov
Barnet
4 : 2
Leyton Orient
07 Nov
Barnet
3 : 0
Tranmere
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1
Barnet
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)