Sport Picks
Exeter vs Bradford City
England
League One 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter 
Match Events
15'
15'
James E.
27'
27'
Jackson K.
Assist: Lapslie G.
43'
43'
Andrew D.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Exeter and Bradford City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bradford City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bradford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bradford City carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Bradford City taking it.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Exeter Clean Sheet 20%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Exeter | Bradford City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League One
Exeter vs Bradford City
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Bradford City vs Exeter
1:0
Feb 12, 2022 League Two
Bradford City vs Exeter
0:1
Nov 30, 2021 FA Cup
Exeter vs Bradford City
2:1
Nov 16, 2021 FA Cup
Exeter vs Bradford City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Exeter Compare
Top Goalscorer Magennis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Bradford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sarcevic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Exeter 10 / 100
Bradford City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Exeter Bradford City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Exeter scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Bradford City let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Exeter went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Exeter VS Bradford City
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Exeter
(Home) 25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2 Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0 Exeter
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2 Bradford City
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2 Bradford City
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3 Stockport County
06 Apr
Exeter
3 : 0 Doncaster
28 Mar
Exeter
0 : 0 Leyton Orient
14 Mar
Exeter
0 : 4 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
Bradford City
(Away) 29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2 Preston
24 Jul
Gmunden
0 : 4 Bradford City
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0 Bradford City
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6 Bradford City
04 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Bradford City
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Gmunden
0 : 4 Bradford City
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0 Bradford City
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6 Bradford City
04 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Bradford City
09 May
Bolton
1 : 0 Bradford City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
