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Exeter vs Bristol City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Exeter and Bristol City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Exeter
20%
Draws
51%
Bristol City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bristol City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Exeter a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Exeter Clean Sheet 20%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Bristol City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Exeter vs Bristol City
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
2:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
4:0
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
2:2
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Exeter vs Bristol City
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 36 / 100
Bristol City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Bristol City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Exeter stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Bristol City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
08 Sept
Exeter
2 : 0
Tottenham U21
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Walsall
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Bristol City

(Away)
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0
Watford
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1
Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3
Bristol City
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