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Exeter vs Bristol City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Exeter and Bristol City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Exeter
33%
Draws
40%
Bristol City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bristol City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bristol City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Exeter Clean Sheet 16%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Bristol City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Exeter vs Bristol City
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
2:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
4:0
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Bristol City vs Exeter
2:2
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Exeter vs Bristol City
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 28 / 100
Bristol City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Bristol City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Bristol City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Exeter stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Bristol City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1
Exeter
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2
Bradford City
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Bristol City

(Away)
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
01 Aug
Plymouth
0 : 0
Bristol City
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
29 Jul
Forest Green
3 : 2
Bristol City
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
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