Sport Picks
Exeter vs Stockport County
England
League One 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter 
Match Events
9'
9'
Mothersille M.
16'
16'
Edun T.
29'
29'
Stokes J.
Assist: Mothersille M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stockport County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockport County have won more games recently than Exeter.
- Exeter are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Stockport County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Exeter Clean Sheet 19%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Exeter | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Exeter vs Stockport County
3:3
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Exeter
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 League One
Exeter vs Stockport County
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 League One
Stockport County vs Exeter
2:0
Feb 20, 2010 League One
Exeter vs Stockport County
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Exeter Compare
Top Goalscorer Cole R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tuterov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Mothersille M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stokes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Exeter 42 / 100
Stockport County 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Exeter Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Stockport County conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Exeter remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Exeter VS Stockport County
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Exeter
(Home) 01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1 Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2 Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0 Exeter
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2 Bradford City
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1 Bristol City
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2 Bradford City
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3 Stockport County
06 Apr
Exeter
3 : 0 Doncaster
28 Mar
Exeter
0 : 0 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 3
Stockport County
(Away) 08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0 Bristol City
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3 Stockport County
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
