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Exeter vs Tottenham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Matthews A. In: Cox S.
Out: Matthews A.
35' Event
Rose D.
Assist: Perry T.
37'
Rose D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Exeter
15%
Draws
40%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tottenham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Exeter.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tottenham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Exeter Clean Sheet 16%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Tottenham U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 EFL Trophy
Exeter vs Tottenham U21
2:0
Sep 24, 2024 EFL Trophy
Exeter vs Tottenham U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cayless L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tottenham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 30 / 100
Tottenham U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Tottenham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tottenham U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Exeter found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Exeter went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Tottenham U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
25% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
07 Nov
Huddersfield
1 : 2
Exeter
31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Exeter
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1
Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Colchester
0 : 0
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham U21

(Away)
08 Nov
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Chelsea U21
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
18 Oct
Tottenham U21
2 : 0
Leicester U21
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Tottenham U21
19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Accrington 3 3 0 0 8:4 7
2 Sheffield Wed 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Crewe 3 1 0 2 7:5 4
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Newcastle Utd U21 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Rotherham 3 1 0 2 1:6 2
4 York City 3 0 0 3 2:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 3 3 0 0 11:7 8
2 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:11 3
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
2 Tranmere 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Everton U21 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Nottingham U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Grimsby 3 0 0 3 1:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 9:10 3
4 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Doncaster 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 3:8 2
4 Rochdale 3 0 0 3 4:12 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Oxford Utd 2 1 0 1 6:2 4
3 Cheltenham 3 2 0 1 4:8 4
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 10:4 8
2 Leicester 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Walsall 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 5:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Bristol Rovers 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Ipswich U21 3 0 0 3 1:10 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 3 3 0 0 9:4 8
2 Crystal Palace U21 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 5:4 4
4 Swindon 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Arsenal U21 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
3 AFC Wimbledon 3 0 0 3 2:3 2
4 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 4:7 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Gillingham 3 2 0 1 7:8 6
3 Brighton U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Northampton 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Brentford U21 3 2 0 1 4:8 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Bromley 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)