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Exeter vs Tottenham U21

England England

EFL Trophy St James Park, Exeter
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Exeter at 1.1 goals for, 1.9 against; Tottenham U21 at 1.86 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Exeter have won 1 to Tottenham U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2024, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Tottenham U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Exeter
15%
Draws
36%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tottenham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Exeter.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Exeter taking it.
  • Tottenham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Exeter Clean Sheet 16%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Tottenham U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2024 EFL Trophy
Exeter vs Tottenham U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 66 / 100
Tottenham U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Tottenham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tottenham U21 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tottenham U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Tottenham U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0
Exeter
10 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Exeter
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1
Exeter
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham U21

(Away)
04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0
Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Tottenham U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
2 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
3 Bristol Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Chelsea U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)